Falls City, Nebraska 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

802
FXUS63 KOAX 141124
AFDOAX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Omaha/Valley NE
524 AM CST Sat Feb 14 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Temperatures remain well above normal through early next week,
  with upper 50s to mid 60s through the weekend, and mid 60s to
  low 70s by Tuesday.

- Rain returns late tonight into Saturday, mainly along and
  south of I-80, with the highest chances (40-70%) near the
  Nebraska/Kansas border.

- An active weather pattern arrives by the middle of next week.
  Periodic precipitation chances with cooler, yet still above
  normal temperatures can be expected.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1011 PM CST Fri Feb 13 2026

Tonight and Saturday

Cloud cover continues to increase as a low pressure system continues
developing over the southern Great Plains with the associated
precipitation shield lifting north towards the area. Rain showers
will overspread the area after midnight and these showers continue
through Saturday afternoon. Rain chances will largely be confined to
areas along and south of Interstate 80. The best chances (40-70%) of
rain will be focused near the Kansas and Nebraska border. These
areas may receive a tenth or two of rainfall throughout the day.
Elsewhere that sees rain will be lucky to receive a few hundredths of
an inch. In the areas expecting rainfall, temperatures will be
limited to the upper 50s. Areas that remain dry should climb into
the lower 60s under filtered sunshine.

Sunday through Tuesday

A warming trend takes over behind Saturday`s system. Temperatures
climb into the mid 60s for Sunday and Monday. Temperatures in the
lower 70s are not out of the question by Tuesday ahead of our next
system. It should remain dry during this period, with passing cloud
cover, and gusty winds at times.

Wednesday and Beyond

Tuesday into Wednesday sees a leading shortwave trough lift and pass
north of the region, providing only a glancing chance of rain for
northeast Nebraska and west-central Iowa. Temperatures cool slightly
back into the 60s with the limited influence of this system. The
main trough arrives sometime late next week. Forecast model guidance
remains uncertain on the exact timing, location, and strength of
this system. This will influence the exact details a bit during this
period late in the forecast. That being said, the general trend will
be cooler temperatures, though remaining above normal, and
precipitation chances. At this time, rain is expected initially with
a potential change to a rain/snow mix or snow late in the forecast
as colder temperatures move in. This will continue to be monitored
as confidence increases in later forecasts. Stay tuned for details!

&&

.AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SUNDAY/...
Issued at 524 AM CST Sat Feb 14 2026

VFR conditions this morning with cigs around FL110 at the
terminals. Lower clouds and rain are starting to push into
southeast Nebraska and will likely move into KLNK by around 15Z.
Latest guidance shows a shorter period of MVFR cigs at KLNK,
now clearing around 19Z, though rain chances hold through 22Z.
Still a 30% chance MVFR cigs don`t make it as far north as KLNK.
Expect VFR conditions to hold at KOMA, though there is a 20%
chance MVFR cigs and rain push north into the terminal around
15-19Z. KOFK will stay north of any low cigs and rain. Winds
will be predominantly out of the east or southeast through the
day today, becoming more light and variable this evening. May
see them transition to generally a west or northwesterly
direction.

&&

.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...None.
IA...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Chehak
AVIATION...McCoy